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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+6.29vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+7.45vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11+6.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+5.63vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-1.46vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+1.23vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.94+1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-1.19vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.91-0.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-0.38vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.14+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-5.17vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-5.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-6.26vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.34-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.26-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.23George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.24Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.02Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.21Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.65Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Dana Haig | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 21.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 17.8% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.