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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+7.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+5.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+6.06vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.10vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+2.32vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+2.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.94+0.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-0.14vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.34+0.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.43vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.26-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.11-6.60vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.64-5.61vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.49-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.32George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.3University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.85Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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12.88Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Dana Haig | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 20.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.