← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.38+3.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.11+7.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.15+6.40vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.64+7.15vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.34+7.30vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.35+2.28vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.10vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.94+1.93vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.30-0.51vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.65-2.71vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.11-1.51vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.14+1.51vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.91-3.00vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.12-5.06vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.49-7.38vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-6.24vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.77-6.12vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami1.26-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.66Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
9.6University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.4University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
11.15Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
12.3Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.28George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.93University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
-
8.49Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.49Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
13.51Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.0Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
8.94Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.62Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
10.88Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 17.0% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 25.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.