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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+8.43vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.14+11.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.26+6.76vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-0.41vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-0.57vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64+0.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-0.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.45vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.91-4.20vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.30-6.48vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.35-7.66vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.34-4.39vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.94-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.43Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.48Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.2Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.61Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 22.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.2% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 18.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.