Race 1B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hidde Van Der Molen 13.2% 12.8% 12.8% 12.0% 10.4% 10.9% 7.8% 6.9% 5.6% 4.3% 3.0% 0.3%
Cameron Hall 14.6% 15.0% 12.1% 11.2% 10.3% 8.9% 9.0% 7.5% 4.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
James Simmons 7.1% 6.0% 6.5% 7.5% 7.0% 8.4% 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 12.1% 9.7% 5.3%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 6.0% 8.5% 13.8% 53.5%
William Heausler 10.5% 9.5% 12.1% 9.7% 10.3% 9.3% 9.0% 6.9% 9.7% 6.0% 4.9% 2.1%
James Allsopp 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 10.4% 9.6% 9.0% 11.0% 14.7% 7.9%
Daniel Eichler 9.3% 11.4% 10.4% 11.1% 8.9% 9.7% 9.0% 9.3% 6.7% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2%
Karl Haelsig 10.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 8.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 3.4%
Samuel Bedinger 2.9% 4.6% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 7.4% 6.0% 9.8% 11.5% 13.3% 14.7% 13.1%
Krysta Rohde 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 9.7% 9.8% 8.1% 9.8% 5.8% 6.8% 1.7%
Miles Martschink 5.7% 5.9% 5.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 8.7% 8.7% 12.4% 12.6% 8.5%
George Kutschenreuter 9.7% 9.7% 9.9% 10.5% 10.4% 8.9% 9.1% 10.1% 8.0% 6.6% 5.7% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.