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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.64+10.41vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+8.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+4.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.49+3.60vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+8.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94+3.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.19vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11+0.29vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-1.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-3.95vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.38-9.63vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-4.38vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.26-3.17vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.15-7.75vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.34-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.41Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.41Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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13.04Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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4.37Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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12.31Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Pajak | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 22.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 18.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.