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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.70+3.81vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.46+6.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+2.80vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.72+0.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.79+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.30vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.17-1.85vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.85-2.02vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.50+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36-5.24vs Predicted
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12University of Florida3.41-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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8.2Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.68College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.170.1%1st Place
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6.98Old Dominion University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.14Clemson University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 13.9% |
| Daniel Eichler | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Hall | 12.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| James Allsopp | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% |
| James Simmons | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Karl Haelsig | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Miles Martschink | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Adam Matyi-Szabo | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 52.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| William Heausler | 11.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.