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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.39+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.68+1.42vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.76+1.96vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.67vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.10-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-3.50vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Rhode Island1.680.2%1st Place
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4.96Salve Regina University0.760.1%1st Place
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3.33Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.46Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Rhode Island2.360.3%1st Place
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5.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Connelly | 13.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
| Kyle Nannig | 16.4% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Allie DeLuca | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 18.0% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 15.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 31.7% | 26.6% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 21.0% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.