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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.70+3.69vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.15+12.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+5.20vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.74+0.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45+0.11vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.04-3.08vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.25-2.87vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.72-1.79vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.14-8.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.68vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.34vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.29-1.73vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.49vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.95-2.03vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-2.35vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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14.51California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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7.7California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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12.21Western Washington University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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15.32University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.66University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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16.27San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.51California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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17.97Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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18.65University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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16.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Greening | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.