Race 3B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Allsopp 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 7.9% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 9.2% 10.6% 12.0% 11.9% 8.6% 0.9%
Hidde Van Der Molen 13.6% 12.7% 12.8% 12.2% 11.3% 9.3% 8.2% 6.8% 6.0% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Cameron Hall 13.0% 14.4% 13.6% 10.5% 11.4% 9.3% 9.1% 6.7% 5.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Krysta Rohde 9.4% 9.1% 9.4% 10.1% 9.9% 9.4% 9.3% 9.0% 8.2% 7.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4%
William Heausler 11.1% 11.6% 9.7% 10.7% 8.9% 9.1% 9.9% 8.1% 8.0% 6.1% 4.5% 2.1% 0.2%
James Simmons 7.3% 5.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 9.1% 10.8% 10.3% 10.0% 9.6% 6.0% 0.8%
George Kutschenreuter 11.4% 10.9% 9.3% 9.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 7.9% 8.5% 7.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Karl Haelsig 7.5% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 8.2% 10.1% 9.3% 9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 6.0% 3.3% 0.1%
Miles Martschink 5.8% 6.2% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 8.4% 9.4% 9.9% 8.8% 10.3% 13.5% 7.0% 1.4%
Daniel Eichler 10.3% 9.0% 10.2% 10.0% 10.9% 9.2% 7.6% 8.8% 8.5% 7.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 4.8% 5.0% 8.5% 12.8% 37.3% 15.9%
Samuel Bedinger 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 5.7% 7.3% 6.7% 6.8% 10.1% 10.9% 18.4% 15.4% 2.6%
Shreyas Kousik 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 3.6% 12.4% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.