← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands0.15+13.49vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.04+4.97vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.26vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.70+0.52vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.66+3.45vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.94vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+1.08vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.14-1.65vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.66vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.54vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California1.75-3.13vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii1.25-1.90vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.09+2.47vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.68vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University0.72-2.96vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-0.29-0.04vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington1.74-9.07vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.51vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego1.45-9.51vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-2.94vs Predicted
-
21Santa Clara University-0.95-3.05vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
14.49California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
6.97Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
-
4.52Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
-
8.45University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
7.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.35University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
12.66University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
-
10.1University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
-
15.47University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.04Western Washington University0.720.0%1st Place
-
15.96San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.93University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
-
14.49California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
9.49University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
17.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
17.95Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
-
18.53University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 15.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Greening | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.