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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+5.27vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+7.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+4.41vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.80vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.75+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.14-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.69vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.72+1.78vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+4.31vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.25-1.98vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-7.66vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.74-5.99vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.43vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.61-4.79vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.09-3.39vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.64-2.86vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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6.8California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.16University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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10.78Western Washington University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.31San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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4.34Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.01University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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12.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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12.57California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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15.14Santa Clara University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kirkpatrick | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Greening | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 19.5% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 26.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.