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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+6.60vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+2.31vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.15+10.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+5.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.76vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75+1.66vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.14-2.06vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.04-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.09+4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.25-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.74-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.45-4.06vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.72-2.46vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29+0.09vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-6.37vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.20vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.64-1.84vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.61-6.88vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
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4.31Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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13.8California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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7.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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14.58University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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11.54Western Washington University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.09San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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13.8California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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16.16Santa Clara University-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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16.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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17.74University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Greening | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Charis Todd | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.