Race 4B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Heausler 10.9% 9.3% 11.4% 10.0% 9.8% 10.1% 8.5% 9.2% 7.9% 6.4% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Karl Haelsig 8.5% 7.1% 8.3% 8.5% 10.4% 8.8% 8.8% 9.3% 10.0% 9.2% 7.0% 3.4% 0.7%
Samuel Bedinger 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 6.1% 8.1% 5.8% 7.7% 10.3% 11.6% 17.7% 14.0% 2.6%
Miles Martschink 4.9% 6.5% 6.4% 8.2% 6.7% 7.1% 8.2% 9.4% 10.8% 11.9% 11.7% 7.3% 0.9%
Hidde Van Der Molen 14.3% 15.0% 13.7% 9.8% 9.2% 9.1% 9.4% 6.3% 5.9% 3.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Cameron Hall 13.6% 15.4% 11.9% 11.9% 12.3% 8.0% 9.0% 5.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 7.5% 11.3% 39.5% 15.8%
Krysta Rohde 9.4% 10.2% 8.3% 10.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 8.2% 8.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4%
James Allsopp 6.4% 5.2% 5.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 7.6% 10.3% 9.2% 12.2% 12.0% 8.8% 1.6%
Daniel Eichler 10.6% 9.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.8% 9.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.4% 7.3% 6.0% 2.2% 0.3%
James Simmons 6.3% 6.2% 7.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.7% 9.6% 11.3% 9.1% 5.6% 0.5%
George Kutschenreuter 9.6% 9.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 9.6% 9.3% 5.4% 6.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Shreyas Kousik 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 12.7% 76.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.