← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Luke Adams 21.6% 21.3% 18.4% 14.9% 12.2% 7.3% 3.1% 1.1%
Nathanael Green 12.0% 12.7% 14.8% 16.2% 15.7% 14.0% 10.7% 3.9%
Ella Sligh 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 10.5% 14.1% 18.9% 21.9% 13.4%
Nicholas Chesemore 23.7% 22.5% 18.4% 15.8% 10.4% 6.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Simon Peroulas 4.5% 5.1% 7.2% 7.8% 10.9% 16.4% 24.8% 23.3%
Caden Harrison 21.4% 20.0% 18.9% 16.5% 12.2% 6.8% 3.6% 0.5%
Oliver Peloquin 7.7% 8.8% 11.1% 13.6% 16.7% 19.8% 15.2% 7.2%
George Prokop 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 4.8% 7.8% 10.2% 18.6% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.