← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.22+4.21vs Predicted
-
2California State University Channel Islands-0.97+14.58vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.18+2.31vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+4.18vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+0.74vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.65+1.26vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University1.03+2.30vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.28-3.08vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.69vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.12vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University-0.65+4.46vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.46+3.06vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-3.94vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii0.87-3.92vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-0.97+1.58vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-4.98vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington0.93-7.17vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.29vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-6.33vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-3.41vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-0.75-5.07vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
-
16.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
5.31University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
8.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.0%1st Place
-
5.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.26Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.3Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
-
4.92University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
7.31University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
-
9.88University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
15.46Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
-
15.06San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
9.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.08University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
16.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
-
9.83University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
-
15.71University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
-
12.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
16.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
15.93University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
19.9University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Sole | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 16.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.