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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+4.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.22+3.23vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.54vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-0.97+9.40vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93+1.63vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.65-2.00vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-1.01vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.87-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.71vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.46+2.06vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.03-4.59vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.65+0.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.92-6.08vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.71-1.30vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-5.37vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.60vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.97vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-4.38vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.23Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.59California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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16.4California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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7.0Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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15.06San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.41Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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15.44Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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16.4California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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16.03University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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19.93University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 20.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 20.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 69.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.