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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+6.94vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93+5.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.43vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.65+0.84vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.22-1.96vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+0.83vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.03+0.02vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.46+4.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.21vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.64+3.20vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.87-3.48vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+1.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.18-10.87vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.05vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-0.64-2.80vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.65-4.11vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.75-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.0%1st Place
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5.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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9.51University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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6.84Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.04Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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9.02Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.24San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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15.2California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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15.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.2California State University Channel Islands-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.89Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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14.91University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Politi | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 16.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jones | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.