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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+6.21vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+2.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.22+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93+4.55vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.65+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.87+1.68vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-3.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-0.03vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.03-2.58vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-4.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.92vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.46-0.64vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-0.14vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.72vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.25-2.46vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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5.44California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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9.42Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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14.36San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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15.18University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.54Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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19.03University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Sole | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Politi | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Wild | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 4.7% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 27.1% | 10.4% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.