← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.34+6.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.18+2.65vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.65+3.24vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.93+3.52vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.22-1.23vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii2.28-2.56vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-0.29vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+0.92vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University1.03-1.81vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.71+2.49vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.39vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii0.87-4.09vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.32vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-0.46-2.22vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-1.88vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University-1.25-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.340.1%1st Place
-
4.65University of Southern California2.180.2%1st Place
-
6.24Tulane University1.650.1%1st Place
-
5.15California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
-
4.77Stanford University2.220.1%1st Place
-
4.44University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
-
9.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
-
8.19Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.91University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.78San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
14.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
14.7Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Politi | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 15.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Sole | 13.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| Adam Wild | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 22.6% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.