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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.03+1.95vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.18+0.15vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.23-0.83vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.81-3.00vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.72-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.15Princeton University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.17Columbia University-0.230.2%1st Place
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2.0Webb Institute0.810.4%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Gorman | 18.0% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Connor Larson | 14.7% | 19.3% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 21.0% |
| David Treatman | 15.2% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 26.3% | 19.4% |
| Ben Hunt | 43.3% | 27.8% | 17.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.