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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute0.810.00vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.18+0.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-1.06vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.72-1.28vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.23-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Webb Institute0.810.4%1st Place
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3.15Princeton University-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.2%1st Place
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3.72Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.19Columbia University-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hunt | 44.6% | 27.2% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Connor Larson | 13.9% | 20.4% | 22.5% | 23.7% | 19.5% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 18.8% | 19.9% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| Dane Brazinski | 7.8% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 39.4% |
| David Treatman | 14.9% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 24.7% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.