Race 5B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Heausler 11.5% 9.2% 11.0% 11.1% 10.3% 9.1% 9.1% 8.9% 8.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Hidde Van Der Molen 14.3% 12.7% 13.0% 13.0% 10.1% 10.3% 7.7% 7.3% 5.7% 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Cameron Hall 13.5% 14.8% 13.7% 10.4% 11.1% 9.9% 8.8% 6.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
James Allsopp 6.3% 5.2% 5.3% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 11.2% 11.8% 11.3% 7.6% 1.2%
Daniel Eichler 9.8% 12.2% 10.0% 9.4% 9.3% 8.3% 10.4% 8.2% 8.5% 6.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3%
James Simmons 7.3% 6.5% 7.4% 7.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.3% 10.2% 9.5% 9.4% 10.0% 5.4% 0.7%
Miles Martschink 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 5.7% 7.2% 7.8% 8.4% 9.8% 9.5% 13.2% 10.2% 5.8% 0.9%
Karl Haelsig 8.5% 7.9% 8.8% 10.3% 8.3% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 7.8% 7.8% 6.7% 2.7% 0.3%
Samuel Bedinger 4.3% 5.2% 3.2% 5.4% 6.4% 5.6% 6.2% 8.6% 10.2% 12.1% 15.3% 14.8% 2.7%
Andrew Fox 6.6% 6.2% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.2% 10.8% 10.4% 11.0% 6.7% 1.5%
Krysta Rohde 9.5% 10.7% 11.6% 9.2% 10.2% 10.9% 9.1% 8.5% 6.3% 6.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 7.1% 13.9% 37.8% 16.7%
Shreyas Kousik 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 1.9% 2.2% 4.1% 12.2% 75.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.