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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.10+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.43+2.86vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.77+2.28vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.68-1.06vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.52-1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.56-2.96vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.03-1.26vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.68-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Purdue University-0.1010.6%1st Place
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4.86University of Michigan-0.437.7%1st Place
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5.28Hope College-0.776.6%1st Place
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2.94Northwestern University0.6824.6%1st Place
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3.2Clemson University0.5220.9%1st Place
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3.04University of Wisconsin0.5623.2%1st Place
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5.74Miami University-1.034.4%1st Place
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6.74Michigan State University-1.681.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathanael Green | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 8.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 13.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 24.6% | 22.9% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Luke Adams | 20.9% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Caden Harrison | 23.2% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Simon Peroulas | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 23.2% |
| George Prokop | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.