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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Webb Institute0.81+0.24vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.72+0.94vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.90vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.18-1.68vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.23-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Webb Institute0.810.3%1st Place
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3.94Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.1SUNY Stony Brook0.900.4%1st Place
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3.32Princeton University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.4Columbia University-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hunt | 33.5% | 30.2% | 20.5% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 6.3% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 24.4% | 44.8% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 38.7% | 28.8% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Connor Larson | 10.6% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 25.7% | 22.9% |
| David Treatman | 10.9% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 28.5% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.