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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.29+0.89vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.29-0.17vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-1.51+1.70vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.64-0.26vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.55-1.27vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.87-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89SUNY Maritime College1.290.4%1st Place
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1.83Webb Institute1.290.4%1st Place
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4.7Princeton University-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.74Columbia University-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.73Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.11SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wilcenski | 40.0% | 38.3% | 16.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Umberto Varbaro | 44.5% | 34.4% | 16.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Mandelbaum | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 32.4% | 32.6% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 5.4% | 10.3% | 25.1% | 29.9% | 22.4% | 6.9% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.9% | 9.8% | 27.1% | 28.6% | 19.9% | 8.7% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 16.3% | 22.7% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.