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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.29+0.89vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.29-0.18vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-1.51+1.71vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.55-0.36vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.64-1.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.87-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Webb Institute1.290.4%1st Place
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1.82SUNY Maritime College1.290.5%1st Place
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4.71Princeton University-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.64Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.83Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.11SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umberto Varbaro | 39.9% | 38.8% | 15.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Wilcenski | 45.3% | 33.5% | 16.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Mandelbaum | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 32.3% | 32.8% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.7% | 11.0% | 28.0% | 29.4% | 20.4% | 5.5% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 4.9% | 9.6% | 24.7% | 29.0% | 21.9% | 9.9% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.