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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.29+0.88vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.29-0.17vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-1.51+1.69vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.64-0.23vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.87+0.15vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.55-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88SUNY Maritime College1.290.4%1st Place
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1.83Webb Institute1.290.4%1st Place
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4.69Princeton University-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.77Columbia University-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.15SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
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3.68Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wilcenski | 40.6% | 38.1% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Umberto Varbaro | 44.5% | 34.4% | 16.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Mandelbaum | 2.8% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 32.0% | 32.7% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 5.4% | 9.8% | 24.0% | 30.9% | 23.0% | 6.9% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 0.8% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 23.3% | 53.7% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.9% | 9.7% | 27.6% | 30.5% | 19.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.