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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.29+0.88vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.29-0.18vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.64+0.73vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.87+1.07vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.55-1.23vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.51-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88SUNY Maritime College1.290.4%1st Place
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1.82Webb Institute1.290.4%1st Place
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3.73Columbia University-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.07SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
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3.77Syracuse University-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.74Princeton University-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wilcenski | 40.6% | 38.4% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Umberto Varbaro | 44.2% | 35.2% | 15.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 6.8% | 8.5% | 26.8% | 28.5% | 21.4% | 8.0% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 0.8% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 25.4% | 48.9% |
| Niall Shannon | 5.7% | 11.1% | 24.0% | 29.2% | 19.7% | 10.3% |
| William Mandelbaum | 1.9% | 3.5% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 31.9% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.