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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.79vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.17+4.17vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+2.66vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.70+0.66vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.46+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of Florida3.41-0.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.72-2.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.79-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.85-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-3.23vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.85-4.15vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.50-1.54vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.16-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.170.1%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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4.66Eckerd College3.700.2%1st Place
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7.98Washington College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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4.63College of Charleston3.720.2%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Wisconsin2.850.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.85Old Dominion University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.46Clemson University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.3Georgia Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krysta Rohde | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Karl Haelsig | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Eichler | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 2.5% |
| William Heausler | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hall | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Fox | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| James Simmons | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Miles Martschink | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Adam Matyi-Szabo | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 38.9% | 16.7% |
| Shreyas Kousik | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 13.1% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.