Race 1A

salve-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 15.9% 17.1% 14.4% 11.9% 12.1% 10.9% 10.1% 4.7% 2.8% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 10.5% 8.4% 12.5% 12.0% 11.7% 13.3% 13.2% 11.1% 6.4% 0.9%
Joey Lark 12.4% 11.9% 12.5% 12.0% 13.9% 14.0% 11.3% 7.3% 4.5% 0.2%
Brian Hayes 2.5% 4.2% 4.1% 6.1% 6.6% 10.1% 12.2% 17.1% 27.4% 9.7%
Adam Gibbs 4.6% 5.8% 5.2% 6.9% 7.2% 9.5% 12.2% 21.5% 20.3% 6.8%
Kylie Castellano 19.4% 17.8% 14.8% 15.4% 11.4% 10.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Palardy 10.5% 11.2% 13.5% 14.8% 15.2% 12.0% 11.0% 7.7% 3.9% 0.2%
John Bogush 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 4.9% 11.3% 74.7%
Alexander Bowen 20.2% 18.7% 16.6% 14.4% 11.7% 8.8% 6.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.8% 4.2% 5.6% 5.3% 8.9% 9.0% 14.8% 19.9% 21.4% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.