Race 2A

salve-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 16.0% 15.4% 14.5% 14.4% 11.9% 11.4% 8.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Alexander Bowen 20.0% 19.2% 16.0% 15.3% 10.7% 8.1% 6.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Ryan Palardy 11.7% 11.4% 12.9% 10.0% 14.9% 14.9% 12.0% 7.2% 4.5% 0.5%
Kylie Castellano 17.6% 19.1% 16.2% 15.4% 12.5% 7.7% 7.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Jennifer Killian 10.6% 9.6% 11.2% 11.8% 13.1% 14.3% 12.8% 10.4% 5.3% 0.9%
Joey Lark 12.8% 13.1% 12.5% 13.3% 14.3% 11.1% 11.7% 7.9% 2.8% 0.5%
Brian Hayes 2.9% 2.3% 5.6% 5.3% 5.6% 9.7% 14.0% 19.7% 26.2% 8.7%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.6% 4.5% 6.0% 6.6% 8.0% 9.6% 12.6% 20.2% 23.0% 5.9%
Adam Gibbs 4.0% 4.9% 4.7% 7.1% 7.5% 11.1% 11.6% 18.7% 23.9% 6.5%
John Bogush 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 10.3% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.