Race 3A

salve-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Lark 14.1% 11.4% 13.6% 10.9% 13.2% 13.7% 11.1% 8.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Alexander Bowen 20.9% 18.1% 16.5% 13.5% 12.2% 9.2% 6.0% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Grace Vincens 14.4% 13.7% 14.5% 14.7% 14.3% 12.1% 9.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Brian Hayes 3.2% 3.0% 4.6% 4.7% 9.1% 8.5% 11.2% 19.1% 28.6% 8.0%
Kylie Castellano 17.1% 20.1% 16.9% 15.6% 10.2% 8.6% 6.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 11.4% 10.6% 8.5% 13.8% 11.1% 13.5% 13.6% 11.4% 5.3% 0.8%
Adam Gibbs 3.1% 3.5% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 10.4% 16.2% 17.8% 22.4% 7.0%
Ryan Palardy 11.8% 13.5% 13.2% 13.9% 12.0% 13.0% 10.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0%
John Bogush 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 5.2% 10.9% 74.8%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.7% 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 9.3% 9.4% 12.4% 18.9% 23.1% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.