Race 4A

salve-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Bowen 21.1% 19.3% 16.8% 13.0% 10.7% 9.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Grace Vincens 14.0% 16.0% 14.8% 15.6% 12.3% 10.4% 8.8% 6.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 10.3% 10.2% 9.4% 11.2% 13.1% 15.0% 14.5% 9.9% 5.8% 0.6%
Kylie Castellano 18.0% 17.9% 16.2% 15.6% 13.8% 7.6% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Joey Lark 12.4% 11.4% 13.4% 14.0% 14.2% 12.1% 10.2% 8.4% 3.4% 0.5%
Ryan Palardy 13.2% 12.1% 11.7% 14.0% 12.6% 12.6% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 0.7%
Brian Hayes 2.8% 2.9% 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 10.9% 14.2% 18.6% 27.1% 8.3%
Adam Gibbs 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 5.3% 8.8% 9.7% 13.5% 20.2% 22.0% 5.9%
John Bogush 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 4.6% 10.0% 76.2%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.5% 4.6% 6.8% 5.0% 7.7% 10.1% 13.4% 17.3% 24.1% 7.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.