Race 5A

salve-sunday

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 17.6% 14.9% 14.4% 12.0% 12.5% 10.7% 10.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Alexander Bowen 20.2% 20.4% 15.0% 13.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Kylie Castellano 18.3% 15.0% 16.6% 15.4% 14.0% 9.2% 7.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Joey Lark 10.7% 13.6% 13.7% 12.9% 13.3% 12.9% 11.2% 7.5% 3.6% 0.6%
Ryan Palardy 11.9% 10.8% 13.8% 14.0% 12.6% 14.8% 9.5% 8.3% 3.6% 0.7%
Brian Hayes 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 6.8% 8.3% 13.5% 17.3% 27.5% 8.9%
Jennifer Killian 8.1% 10.9% 11.1% 13.0% 14.1% 13.5% 11.9% 10.9% 5.8% 0.7%
Adam Gibbs 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 6.5% 10.1% 15.2% 19.7% 20.9% 6.2%
John Bogush 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 4.3% 11.6% 75.1%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.7% 5.3% 4.4% 6.7% 7.8% 9.2% 12.5% 20.2% 22.9% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.