Race 6A

salve-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 17.3% 16.0% 14.2% 13.3% 14.3% 10.3% 8.8% 5.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Joey Lark 11.8% 11.8% 15.2% 12.1% 13.5% 15.2% 11.6% 6.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Kylie Castellano 19.4% 15.6% 16.4% 16.2% 13.3% 10.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Palardy 10.5% 13.1% 14.2% 14.3% 14.6% 13.7% 11.6% 6.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Adam Gibbs 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 11.8% 17.1% 25.7% 12.4% 2.1%
Alexander Bowen 23.0% 18.5% 16.1% 14.6% 11.8% 8.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 8.2% 11.8% 11.5% 13.1% 14.6% 16.0% 12.9% 9.4% 2.1% 0.4%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 7.4% 8.0% 9.7% 19.1% 26.1% 12.8% 2.5%
Wynn Simmons 0.6% 1.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 3.4% 9.0% 36.3% 44.0%
John Bogush 0.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 2.5% 3.8% 7.5% 31.7% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.