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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 17.7% 15.3% 15.1% 13.7% 13.4% 10.8% 8.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Joey Lark 12.0% 11.4% 14.6% 12.9% 14.2% 14.7% 11.5% 6.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Kylie Castellano 17.9% 18.2% 16.5% 15.9% 13.5% 9.7% 5.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.5% 4.2% 5.6% 6.2% 10.0% 11.5% 17.6% 26.4% 13.0% 2.0%
Jennifer Killian 10.0% 11.3% 11.1% 13.2% 12.5% 16.1% 13.1% 9.3% 3.1% 0.3%
Ryan Palardy 14.3% 11.7% 12.7% 14.2% 13.9% 12.4% 12.5% 6.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Alexander Bowen 19.2% 20.8% 17.5% 15.2% 11.2% 9.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 4.1% 5.3% 5.9% 6.6% 8.3% 10.8% 18.5% 25.9% 12.2% 2.4%
Wynn Simmons 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 4.6% 8.6% 35.4% 44.0%
John Bogush 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 7.2% 31.6% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.