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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.17+5.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.72+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of Florida3.41+1.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.85+2.11vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.70-1.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.33-1.27vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.46+0.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.79-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.36-5.48vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.50-1.48vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.16-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.170.1%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston3.720.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Florida3.410.1%1st Place
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7.11Old Dominion University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.71Eckerd College3.700.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.21Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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10.52Clemson University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.33Georgia Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Hall | 13.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Simmons | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| William Heausler | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Miles Martschink | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Hidde Van Der Molen | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 2.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| James Allsopp | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Adam Matyi-Szabo | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 38.8% | 17.2% |
| Shreyas Kousik | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 13.5% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.