Race 8A

salve-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kylie Castellano 20.5% 18.0% 16.0% 14.2% 12.6% 8.8% 5.4% 4.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Alexander Bowen 21.0% 19.9% 14.8% 15.9% 11.7% 8.5% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Joey Lark 11.6% 11.8% 12.9% 13.8% 17.1% 11.8% 13.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Grace Vincens 14.2% 16.5% 16.1% 16.5% 11.6% 13.0% 6.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 11.4% 9.2% 12.7% 12.3% 14.7% 15.2% 13.0% 9.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Adam Gibbs 5.5% 4.0% 6.4% 5.7% 7.4% 12.4% 17.4% 25.1% 13.4% 2.7%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.1% 4.6% 6.2% 6.7% 7.1% 11.8% 20.7% 25.4% 11.7% 2.7%
Ryan Palardy 11.6% 14.5% 13.6% 12.6% 14.5% 13.8% 10.5% 6.6% 2.0% 0.3%
John Bogush 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.9% 7.3% 33.1% 49.2%
Wynn Simmons 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 9.6% 34.9% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.