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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.59+3.32vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.57+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.02-0.50vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39-0.31vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.53+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.51-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.39+0.99vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-1.28-0.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.92Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Rhode Island1.570.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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4.69Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.37Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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8.99University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.96Sacred Heart University-1.280.0%1st Place
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3.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 14.9% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 19.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 11.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Adam Gibbs | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 26.5% | 12.3% | 2.6% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 25.9% | 12.6% | 2.6% |
| John Bogush | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 33.5% | 46.9% |
| Wynn Simmons | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 33.5% | 47.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 20.0% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.