← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Lark 13.5% 13.6% 12.5% 14.7% 11.8% 13.8% 10.3% 7.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Grace Vincens 14.9% 17.5% 14.3% 14.2% 13.2% 11.2% 9.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Ryan Palardy 11.9% 11.6% 12.6% 14.4% 14.0% 14.9% 12.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Kylie Castellano 19.2% 17.1% 18.2% 14.9% 13.8% 8.2% 5.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 11.2% 9.5% 11.8% 12.7% 16.3% 13.9% 12.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5%
Adam Gibbs 5.0% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 7.2% 12.4% 17.2% 26.5% 12.3% 2.6%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.2% 3.7% 6.4% 7.6% 7.0% 12.9% 18.1% 25.9% 12.6% 2.6%
John Bogush 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.8% 4.5% 8.1% 33.5% 46.9%
Wynn Simmons 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.7% 8.0% 33.5% 47.1%
Alexander Bowen 20.0% 20.9% 17.5% 12.6% 13.3% 7.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.