Race 10A

salve-sunday

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 19.6% 14.0% 15.3% 11.0% 14.4% 11.4% 10.1% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Joey Lark 12.2% 11.4% 14.3% 12.9% 14.9% 15.2% 10.4% 6.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Kylie Castellano 18.3% 16.3% 16.4% 17.3% 13.7% 8.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Mackenzie Fraser 3.5% 4.1% 5.6% 6.2% 9.5% 10.5% 19.2% 26.9% 12.4% 2.1%
Alexander Bowen 20.9% 20.3% 17.2% 14.5% 11.6% 8.0% 4.4% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 7.2% 7.4% 11.8% 17.1% 25.3% 13.2% 2.8%
Ryan Palardy 9.7% 14.5% 13.1% 15.4% 14.5% 14.1% 10.8% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Jennifer Killian 9.8% 12.5% 11.4% 13.6% 11.5% 14.7% 14.2% 9.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Wynn Simmons 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.8% 3.1% 9.5% 36.1% 43.5%
John Bogush 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 3.5% 4.0% 6.6% 31.7% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.