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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.26+3.03vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.55+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.04-0.76vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.15-0.19vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-2.34vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.51-1.14vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.12-1.23vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.89-1.34vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.23-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.96Syracuse University0.550.2%1st Place
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2.24University of Illinois1.040.4%1st Place
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3.81Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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5.86Ohio State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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6.77Miami University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.66Western Michigan University-2.890.0%1st Place
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8.01Ohio State University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Pribe | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 14.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Warner | 20.4% | 22.7% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Falconer | 38.8% | 25.4% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 11.0% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Gibson | 13.3% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Avery Lawrence | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 26.8% | 25.3% | 13.0% | 2.6% |
| Anna Bloomquist | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 16.1% | 31.2% | 25.5% | 11.0% |
| Matthew Remington | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 16.5% | 32.2% | 34.9% |
| Ian Waddell | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 25.6% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.