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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.04+1.21vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.51+4.03vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+0.73vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.55-1.31vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.15-1.31vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.230.00vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.48-4.69vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.12-3.30vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-2.89-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Illinois1.040.4%1st Place
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6.03Ohio State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.73Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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2.69Syracuse University0.550.2%1st Place
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3.69Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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8.0Ohio State University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.7Miami University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.65Western Michigan University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Falconer | 38.5% | 27.0% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Lawrence | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 28.6% | 23.0% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Gibson | 12.3% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 23.8% | 25.3% | 25.3% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 12.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Waddell | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 12.9% | 25.7% | 49.7% |
| John Lowry | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Anna Bloomquist | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 30.9% | 23.5% | 11.4% |
| Matthew Remington | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 17.9% | 32.5% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.