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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.55+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.04+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+1.73vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.44+3.33vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.15-0.98vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-2.03vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.64+0.61vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.05-4.16vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.95-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Syracuse University0.550.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Illinois1.040.3%1st Place
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4.73University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.33Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
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4.02Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.97Virginia Tech-0.060.1%1st Place
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7.61Miami University-2.640.0%1st Place
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3.84Ohio State University0.050.1%1st Place
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7.94Ohio State University-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Warner | 22.5% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Falconer | 29.8% | 29.1% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 26.6% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 28.4% | 32.0% | 21.8% |
| Nick Maude | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 12.3% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Agin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 22.9% | 33.1% | 30.5% |
| Tony Prenger | 14.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Osborne | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 16.4% | 26.7% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.