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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+0.35vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.93+1.87vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-2.72+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.56+0.74vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.01-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-3.99-0.73vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.30-4.69vs Predicted
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10Miami University-3.13-4.20vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-3.81-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Syracuse University0.280.7%1st Place
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3.87Virginia Tech-1.930.1%1st Place
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5.12Ohio State University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Illinois-2.560.0%1st Place
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5.52Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Toledo-3.990.0%1st Place
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4.31Ohio State University-2.300.1%1st Place
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5.8Miami University-3.130.0%1st Place
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7.02Ohio University-3.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 74.7% | 17.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Harler | 5.0% | 21.9% | 22.1% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Casey Schomer | 3.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| Gabriel Aaron | 4.0% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 2.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 9.7% |
| Eric Lynch | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 23.1% | 37.6% |
| Alexander Kiraly | 5.5% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Sarver | 2.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% |
| Katie Sanford | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.