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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+4.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+3.75vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+2.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+5.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.49+5.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17-1.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.01+1.78vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-1.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.31vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.21vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.15-3.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.51vs Predicted
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14Boston College-0.06-2.21vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.48-1.76vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-4.37vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island-0.93-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Roger Williams University1.9711.3%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College1.7110.8%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College1.8411.2%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University0.492.4%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University2.1717.2%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.014.3%1st Place
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6.98Brown University1.857.8%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.2%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.157.4%1st Place
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8.77Northeastern University1.224.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.4%1st Place
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11.79Boston College-0.061.8%1st Place
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13.24Boston University-0.481.3%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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14.44University of Rhode Island-0.930.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 17.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 22.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Erin Little | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.