Race 8B

charleston-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Hall 14.5% 13.4% 14.0% 10.0% 11.0% 9.3% 9.7% 5.7% 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
George Kutschenreuter 9.4% 11.0% 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 10.3% 7.6% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4%
James Allsopp 4.7% 5.5% 7.4% 6.1% 7.6% 6.7% 9.2% 9.1% 10.8% 10.9% 12.1% 8.8% 1.1%
Karl Haelsig 8.4% 7.2% 7.5% 11.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.0% 10.3% 9.0% 8.5% 7.7% 3.3% 0.7%
Hidde Van Der Molen 14.7% 14.7% 11.1% 11.8% 11.0% 8.8% 9.2% 6.3% 5.2% 3.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
James Simmons 7.3% 6.1% 7.2% 6.8% 8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 8.5% 6.4% 0.9%
Daniel Eichler 10.5% 10.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.6% 10.4% 9.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Samuel Bedinger 3.6% 5.7% 4.2% 5.7% 5.5% 5.2% 6.9% 8.5% 11.7% 10.7% 15.5% 13.8% 3.0%
William Heausler 10.1% 9.8% 10.6% 10.2% 9.1% 11.1% 8.7% 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.5% 0.2%
Krysta Rohde 10.3% 8.2% 10.9% 10.0% 8.7% 9.4% 8.7% 9.3% 7.7% 7.8% 4.9% 3.7% 0.4%
Adam Matyi-Szabo 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 8.2% 13.9% 35.3% 16.5%
Shreyas Kousik 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 0.7% 2.4% 4.1% 12.7% 75.0%
Miles Martschink 4.7% 6.8% 7.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 7.9% 9.8% 10.5% 11.6% 13.0% 7.4% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.