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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+1.21vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-2.27+5.16vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.57-1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.11-0.35vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-1.62+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.64-1.54vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.14-0.20vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.16-2.70vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-2.80-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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7.16Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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1.81University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.92Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.8Michigan Technological University-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.3Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.7Michigan Technological University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 31.4% | 34.3% | 21.2% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 27.4% | 24.2% |
| Carl Eaton | 46.8% | 32.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Barnes | 9.5% | 14.0% | 24.0% | 24.9% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Grace Hillman | 1.8% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Christian Green | 4.6% | 7.3% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Gabe Gentz | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 25.3% | 16.7% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Nick Cortes | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.