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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.57-0.09vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.27+4.03vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.16+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.11-1.31vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-1.62-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.64-2.51vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.14-1.21vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-2.80-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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1.91University of Minnesota1.570.4%1st Place
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7.03Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.24Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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3.69University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.96Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Notre Dame-0.640.1%1st Place
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6.79Michigan Technological University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.7Michigan Technological University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 33.8% | 32.0% | 21.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 43.3% | 33.4% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 27.4% | 23.2% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Barnes | 9.4% | 14.9% | 24.2% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Hillman | 2.1% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 22.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Christian Green | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 23.1% | 22.2% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Gabe Gentz | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 19.1% |
| Nick Cortes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.