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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.57-0.16vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.16+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.64+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.11-1.08vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.80+3.04vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.14+0.66vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-1.62-1.36vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-2.41-0.61vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-2.27-2.05vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-2.00-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Grand Valley State University1.180.3%1st Place
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1.84University of Minnesota1.570.5%1st Place
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5.98Hope College-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Wisconsin-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.04Michigan Technological University-2.800.0%1st Place
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7.66Michigan Technological University-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.64Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
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8.39Northern Michigan University-2.410.0%1st Place
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7.95Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.37Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 29.9% | 34.7% | 21.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 47.1% | 31.2% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 3.2% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Christian Green | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Barnes | 8.4% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nick Cortes | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 36.4% |
| Gabe Gentz | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 11.6% |
| Grace Hillman | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Katie Gorgon | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 21.7% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 15.7% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.