Race 1B

2019-laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Sawyer 6.5% 6.7% 10.4% 10.0% 11.4% 12.1% 12.4% 15.5% 11.6% 3.4%
David Resnick 6.7% 6.2% 7.4% 10.2% 12.6% 12.2% 14.2% 12.8% 13.9% 3.8%
Nina McAlvey 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 9.1% 8.9% 13.5% 16.3% 13.7% 13.9% 3.9%
Michael Stone 29.6% 25.9% 17.9% 13.1% 7.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Alana Lanser 10.8% 9.6% 12.4% 13.2% 13.3% 13.5% 10.5% 9.9% 5.4% 1.4%
Donny Marwin 22.2% 19.6% 18.3% 13.9% 11.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Steven Domiter 3.7% 6.2% 6.3% 10.4% 12.2% 11.6% 13.6% 17.3% 13.2% 5.5%
Ryan Higgins 10.8% 14.4% 12.9% 12.4% 14.3% 13.2% 10.7% 6.4% 4.3% 0.6%
Mary Moir 2.9% 3.7% 5.6% 5.6% 6.6% 9.0% 12.5% 16.1% 25.9% 12.1%
Nicole Fassnacht 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.5% 3.8% 6.1% 10.9% 69.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.