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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-1.28+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+0.72vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.32+2.78vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.30+1.58vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.82vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-1.93+0.83vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.71-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-1.45-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.87-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Michigan Technological University-1.280.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Minnesota0.340.3%1st Place
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5.78Hope College-1.320.1%1st Place
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5.58Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.18Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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6.83Saint Mary's College-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.48Grand Valley State University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Wisconsin-1.450.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Notre Dame-0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sawyer | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.0% |
| Michael Stone | 27.8% | 25.8% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nina McAlvey | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 13.1% |
| David Resnick | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% |
| Donny Marwin | 24.4% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Mary Moir | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 33.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Steven Domiter | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| Alana Lanser | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.